What if I have to predict about French Presidential Elections 2017?

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Democracy is considered as an ideal tool to rule and run any country or province. It is the government of the people, by the people and for the people as said by the Former US president in his famous Gettysburg Address speech in 1893. However, the tables are turning in the 21st century, and the democracy is no longer same as our ancestors had imagined. The exceptional sweep by Mr Donald Trump in 2016 US elections, have defined some new meanings of democracy, and the curious question lies in the hearts and minds of people across the world is: will 2017 French Presidential Elections be a game changer in the French politics or it will only repeat what is happening in a so called democratic country like America.

If you are crazy enough to think that you can trust the exit polls altogether, let me tell you, you should not.

After the incidents like US presidential elections and Brexit, it is not wise to trust exit polls altogether. The problem with polls is that people sometimes don’t convey what their hearts tell them.

The fall of François Fillon:

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Until December, there were only two strong participants in the French Presidential race- François Fillon and Marine Le Pen. Well, things did not turn out well for François Fillon due to some serious accusations to him like securing a fake job for his wife and children with public money (around 800000 €). Also, recently, he was accused of forgetting to declare to the HATVP (High Authority for Public Life Transparency) a 50000 € loan granted to a billionaire friend to whom he gave the Légion d’Honneur when he was at the government. The chances of François Fillon to win the elections dramatically fall from 66% to 19% in recent polls and a name which Marine Le Pen should (?) take seriously is no more François Fillon, but Emmanuel Macron.

Emmanuel Macron:

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The recent polls predict that Emmanuel Macron will win the elections against Marine Le Pen with 60-40% margins. However, as I said above, you cannot trust polls completely as Le Pen has more than 15 years of experience in the active politics compared to Macron’s mere five years.

The world seems to accept extreme Right wing ideologies (India, US elections and Brexit). In this political scenario, the chances of winning the right thinking are high.

Also, we should not forget that most of the voters prefer a good and direct orator and Emmanuel Macron has this quality. If you have seen his recent debates, you must have noticed his consistency, direct approach, excellent debating tactics and innovative ideas.

Also, he listens what his opponent has to say, and that is something commendable. He won his first debate with flying colours and had qualities to appeal the mass. He may win huge acceptance among voters, especially liberals.

However, there are some serious issues associated with Macron, and one of the main problems is his unjustified attempt to transpartisan. In his speeches, he tries to please right wingers and left wingers and ends up angering both. A recent example- You must have heard his views about gay issue in the recent speech.

Marine Le Pen: a firebrand right-wing idealist:

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Though you must have read about her a lot nowadays and some of you might hate her, but she very well knows that pulse of the public and has an enormous political experience to help her out. She is an outspoken, excellent orator and a hardcore anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim. You can compare her with the US current President Donald Trump who has already started taking decisive steps against Muslims and illegal immigrants. Marine Le Pen has seen and studied French Politics carefully and knows how it functions. When she became a leader of the Front National, she sidelined her own father and supporters and reached out to mostly untouched communities like LGBT, women and religious minorities like the Jewish community by softening her party ideologies.

She speaks firmly in debates, whether it is about leaving the European Union or reducing the immigration or going back to the France Franc as currency. Her voters come from diverse backgrounds and races. If you have seen exit polls closely, you must have noticed that Le Pen’s voting margins are not fluctuating like others in spite of her political and financial scandals. She clearly has sounds and loyal voters, and this is the most important thing for her to win.

Mélanchon

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Then comes Mélanchon, he came a long way, and he might get the votes from the indecisive and pass the first round. He appeals to the youth and has his loyal and sound crew as well. However, who would be against him???? Le Pen? This would mean that we will have to pick between the two extreme political parties and this is the scariest thing that could happen in our elections. Knowing my Frenchies, it is not an option to joke on… It’s entirely plausible to my point of view.

Voters, the final deciders

Sunday is coming fast (D -2) and it is not worth to predict what the French people think.

And I apparently feel like these votes will be led by 4 categories of voters:

  • The intellectuals: they swing votes depending on the political programme offered by the candidates, they traditionally vote right or left wing. Their decision is purely a question of opportunity. What’s right for them and their families?
  • The Passionate Swingers: former loyal voters, mostly from the French middle class, fed up with the traditional parties. Former loyal voters, they swing their votes over the last few years, voting now for extremes in desperate need for solutions for the country.
  • The Loyals: supporters who are always voting for the same political party. They believe in parties and not in ideas. They will never vote outside their party whoever is in charge.
  • The Indecisives: they are the most volatile obviously. They think too much. They will probably make their decision on the day. They might even not vote at all. They could vote for anyone including the Extremes. They are sick and tired of the current politics and after being former Loyals and maybe former Intellectuals, they are deeply concerned about the future of their country and want to try something else. They will either vote with their heart & gut or not at all or only between the two final candidates.

I can’t wait to be voting this coming Sunday. It would be interesting to see who French people choose. Whoever leads and takes over the seat, Intellectuals, Swingers, Indecisives and LOyals, we all hope that the new president will work for the betterment of the people and be caring for the hard-hitting issues, France is facing right now.

Frenchie

XoXo

French Election: Religion & Politics?

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France goes to the polls in 10 days to elect a new president. Will the National Front’s Marine Le Pen pull off a Brexit-style victory?

French Ambassador in Dhaka Sophie Aubert was delivering a lecture on France’s foreign policy and its challenges at the Bangladesh Institute of International and Strategic Studies or BIISS in Dhaka.

Aubert said religion is a “complex issue”. “We must be very careful before the misuse and manipulation of religion at the political level.”

France is at war with this jihadist movement outside the country: Mauritania, Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso and Chad. In the Middle East, in Iraq and Syria. Despite the fact that the French are not “really” living these wars, they’ve already been labelled as War of Religion or the “Invisible WW3”.

In fact, most of Le Pen’s voters are rejecting Islam and its conviction, still shaken by the attacks which happened in Nice or Paris and also more recently in London and really concerned by the national security.

The three biggest concerns of the French are:
1 – immigration (coming first for 38% of the population)
2 – Security (coming first for 30% of the population)
3 – unemployment rate (coming first for 12% of the population)

Having these numbers in mind, the French population also feel like they are facing a cultural and ideological threat with Islam first being the most practised religion in France feeling like the country is losing its identity. In fact, a lot defended her when she mentioned back three years that Muslims holding prayer services in the streets of Paris (Chateau Rouge) felt “like an occupation.”

On April 23, the French will go to the polls to cast their ballot for one of eleven candidates, four of whom are polling at or near 20 percent. Two weeks later, they will choose between the top two vote-getters. Any of the top four could conceivably make it to the second round.

The population is sick of the traditional politics: left wing, right wing… Bye! They ready to give a chance to “newest” parties such as Le Front National and Le Parti Communiste! Of Mélanchon. The latter had a dramatic seven-point surge recently, unexpectedly turning France’s roller-coaster presidential race into a possible four-way contest where anybody could be elected really. And 32% of the French population still doesn’t know who they are voting for…. Scary…

Well, religion doesn’t govern our politics nowadays but certainly dictates the community’s choices regarding candidates. Hence Le Pen’s rise these last couple of years.

À vous de juger!

Frenchie xxx

French Election Coverage: Meet Fillon, (Part 3) D-23

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François Charles Amand Fillon was one of the most promising names when it came to French politics, and he was the former prime minister of France who served from 2007 to 2012 and currently he is the presidential candidate from the Republican party of France. He has years of experience in handling some of the key portfolios in French government like education minister and labour minister and ecology and sustainable development minister in different regimes.

FACTS:

–    His wife is Welsh from Llanover, near Abergavenny.

–    They have five children

–    They live a 12th-Century manor house near Le Mans in western France

PRESIDENTIAL RACE:

He was considered as a third when he nominated himself for the 2016 Republic Presidential Primary, and in a week’s time, he was the favourite candidate from the Republican Party when Alain Juppé supported him after the run-off on 27 November 2016. In the months of November and December 2016, he was the frontrunner for the presidential election of 2017, but the series of disclosures of political scandals which burst to its paroxysm today seem to ruin his chances suddenly went to the backseat in the presidential elections.

François Fillon has always denied and has refused to step aside for another candidate, complaining instead that he was the victim of a “political assassination” and added, “if investigation reports prove me guilty, I will leave the presidential election.”

Two of the most efficient and renowned exist polls Ifop, and BVA has suggested that he will be thrown out by the people in the first round of elections that will be held in April 2017. According to sources, even his party members from Les Républicains party are against him and put pressure on him to leave the presidential candidacy since the allegations were made public by the leading newspaper Le Canard Enchaîné.

It will be interesting to see the results in the first round of the election and the time will tell whether people accepts François Fillon or not. If he loses the elections, it may be the end of his political career.

IMPORTANT POINTS OF HIS POLITICAL PLANS:

–    cutting half a million public sector jobs, scrapping the 35-hour work week and remove the wealth tax (ISF).

–    He wants to strip jihadists returning from the wars in Iraq or Syria of their French nationality

–    Require parents in receipt of social allowances to agree to a “parental responsibility contract”, to tackle children’s absenteeism or behaviour “disrespectful of the values of the French republic”.

–    Fillon wants to engage with Russia by lifting EU sanctions and help Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to defeat the Islamic State (IS).

 

WHAT HAVE THE FILLONS DONE WRONG?

Nothing, say Francois Fillon and his wife, who insist everything was above board. But prosecutors have decided there is sufficient evidence to open a full judicial inquiry into abuse of public funds and on 15 March the examining magistrate is expected to place him under formal investigation.

The question is: did Penelope Fillon do the work she was paid for? Satirical weekly Le Canard Enchaîné alleged in late January that she did not – and got €831,400 (£710,000; $900,000) for her trouble.

She was employed as her husband’s parliamentary assistant from 1988-90 and again in 1998-2002 and then by his successor, Marc Jouland, from 2002-2007.

She worked again for Mr Fillon from 2012-13. That is all very well if she did the work, but one report suggests she did not have a parliamentary pass or a work email.

According to Le Canard Enchaîné, she also pocketed €100,000 for writing just a handful of articles for a literary review La Revue des Deux Mondes, owned by a billionaire friend of the family, Marc Ladreit de Lacharriere.

Today, Penelope Fillon was officially charged with embezzlement of public funds, a coup de grace for Fillon’s election himself charged earlier this month! These elections couldn’t be more exciting and uncertain.

DID YOU KNOW?

Marine Le Pen is also under investigation for allegedly using European Parliament staff allowances to pay for FN party employees, including a personal bodyguard.

WHAT THE FRENCHIES THINK OF THIS WHOLE ORDEAL?

900 000 Euros dans la poche de fillon?, ok, c’est pas cher à payer par rapport à ce que Hollande et sa clique nous ont fait perdre et nous fera perdre Macron et son programme qui n’a aucun sens et je ne parle même pas de MLP. Fillon est la seule alternative.

900 000 Euros in Fillon’s pocket ?, ok, it is acceptable compared to what Holland and his clique have made us lose and will make us lose with Macron and its program that makes no sense, and I do not speak even about MLP. Fillon is the only alternative.

***

Ce que cet article ne dit pas:

Si Penelope Fillon est mise en examen par les juges d’instruction, ceux-ci, par contre, ont enfreint les lois de procédure pénale:

– ils n’ont instruit qu’à charge;

– ils n’ont pas tenu compte de la présomption d’innocence;

– enfin, ils n’ont pas respecté la séparation des pouvoirs (mais là, depuis Mitterrand, la France a l’habitude, au plus grand étonnement, d’ailleurs, des démocraties européennes).

Qui dira encore que la Justice française dans le cas présent est absolument impartiale et politiquement indépendante???

What this article does not say:
If Penelope Fillon is under investigation by the investigating judges, they, on the other hand, have infringed the laws of criminal procedure:
They have instructed only on charges;
– they did not take into account the presumption of innocence;
– finally, they have not respected the separation of powers (but since Mitterrand, France is accustomed, to the greatest astonishment, moreover, of the other European democracies).
Who will say that the French Justice, in this case, is absolutely impartial and politically independent ???

***

Demander a Cahuzac, Tevennoud, …

Ensuite mise en examen ne veut pas dire condamnée!

Ask this to Cahuzac, Tevennoud, …
Then indictment does not mean condemned!

***

C’est émouvant le jusqu’au boutisme acharné des fillonistes……

Malheureusement la prévarication, l’enrichissement personnel la malhonnêteté et le clientélisme de Monsieur Fillon sont dorénavant connus de tous.

It is moving how the hard line attitude of Fillon’s fan can go …
Unfortunately, the prevarication, the personal enrichment the dishonesty and the clientelism of Mr Fillon are henceforth known to all.

***

Les emplois fictifs dans le privé n’ont rien d’illégaux. Des individus au placard dans les grands groupes il y en a des centaines. Dans les années 90 la société qui m’employait , et dont l’Etat était actionnaire, a été contrainte d’accepter l’embauche d’un ami du ministre de l’industrie au sein de son état major . Ce type ne foutait rien et était grassement payé. Et ça a duré 4 ans .

The fictitious jobs in the private sector are not illegal. There are hundreds of individuals in the closet in large groups. In the 90s the company that employed me, and whose state was a major shareholder, was forced to accept the hiring of a friend of the Minister of Industry within his staff. This guy did not give a damn and was well paid to do nothing; it lasted four years.

Sacré French 🙂

Did you know?

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French Election Coverage: Meet Emmanuel Macron, the Dashing Prince Charming of French Politics (Part 2) D-23

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By the sight of the above chart, none of the candidates will win outright the majority needed. There will be a run-off vote between the two leading candidates two weeks later on 7 May.

The campaign of centre-right Republicans candidate Francois Fillon has been overshadowed by the announcement that a judge is investigating persistent media claims of financial wrongdoing, centred on payments of public money made to his wife and children. A shame for him as he’s now showing as France’s third choice being eliminated straight on.

It seems like Emmanuel Macron’s style hated by some and loved by others is paying off putting him in 2nd. But who is that 39-year-old man if elected will be the youngest French president of France’s history?

Four facts about him:

  • He attended L’École Nationale d’administration (ENA), English: National School of Administration
  • Pro-business and wealthy: Macron cut his teeth in the world of finance by working from 2008-2012 as a banker for Rothschild. While there he brokered a €9 billion takeover of a Pfizer subsidiary by Nestlé, which made him a millionaire.
  • He married his French Teacher at 37 who he madly fell in love with when he was 17. 37-year-old married woman he fell in love with when he was just 17. They remain together to this day.

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  • He began his political career only two years ago.

Well, Emmanuel Macron, an outsider who is probably going to be the president of France, has his rallies are sold out in advance, and the strength is far higher than his rivals like Le Pen and Fillon.

He is regarded as a crowd puller, and his supporters absolutely love him…Why the French love him?

  • Macron is Kennedy-handsome, has a Clintonesque charisma, and is bold in his campaigning staging big, American-style rallies throughout France à la Obama style.
  • He strongly believes that there are two Frances and there are millions of people who are disillusioned by the traditional left and right parties. Hence the creation of En Marche! meaning Forward! or On the Move!, also known by its official name Association pour le Renouvellement de la vie Politique (Association for the Renewal of Politics), is a social liberal political party in France founded on 6 April 2016.
  • Businesses love him as well as he is the only knowledgeable “economist”.
  • French people like his youth, his freshness and his style. They are sick of the same old elephants like Juppé. The youth is searching for a political renaissance, and Macron represents a whole lot of generations: the young people because of his age, middle age again because of the age proximity and the seniors because of his proximity with senior politicals. He’s the candidate of everyone.
  • Francois Hollande being the most unpopular president of all time, knowing that Emmanuel Macron refers to him as a “Tartemolle” (in English sluggish tart),
  • The French understand his style and his vocabulary which wasn’t the case with Francois Hollande who needed to downgrade his French vocabulary to make himself understood by most of the French.
  • He’s a centrist, not too far right nor far left.

Well, and what about his political programme for France?

  • He has, however, promised 10,000 more police officers – similar to a pledge made by Marine Le Pen – and the rebuilding of regional intelligence networks.
  • Also, he plans to increase the defence budget by 2% (Like Marine Le Pen) and would hire 10,000 police officers to prevent terrorist attacks like Charlie Hebdo attacks.
  • Also, he would hire more than 5000 school teachers and would merge many public and private sector pension schemes.
  • He opposed the anti-immigration steps and policies by American President Mr Donald Trump and broadcasted a video inviting American Engineers and other technocrats to come to France.

The 4th week of the April will decide the fate of Mr Emmanuel Macron, but as of today, he emerged as the front-runner in the French Presidential Elections.

What French people say about him on Social Media?

Il a raison quand on voit les têtes de vainqueurs des primaires du Centre avec NKM, Bruno Le Maire, Copé et papy Juppé, Macron a toutes ses chances.

He is right when we see the heads of winners of the Center primaries with NKM, Bruno Le Maire, Cope and Papy Juppé; Macron has all his chances (to win).

***

Je ne voterais pas pour cette gauche ” bourgeoise “”

I would not vote for “champagne socialist.”

***

La gauche et son défilé de mannequins…macron, peillon, Montebourg, mélanchon, etc…

tous de bons comédiens, la farce est royal, là, on a vraiment la gauche décomposée et seul Cambadélis détient la vérité, enfin

The left wing and its parade of models … macron, Peillon, Montebourg, melanchon, etc.

All good actors, the farce is royal, there, we really have a decomposed left wing and only Cambadélis holds the truth in fact.

***

Pitoyable comédie humaine qui ne prêterait qu’à en rire si elle ne nous coûtait pas aussi chère.

Et les Français vont élire ce conseiller. Les banquiers auront réussi un bon coup, un coup magistral, avoir un banquier à la Présidence de la République.

Pitiful human comedy that would make me laugh if it did not cost us that much.

And the French will elect that “counsellor” indeed, a banker as a President.

 ***

Un programme cohérent, réfléchit et construit sur plusieurs années contre un programme rédigé en quelques semaines dont ni les effets, ni les coûts et ni les conséquences ont été évalués avec sérieux. Voilà le choix qui sera à faire pour cette élection. Allez Macron !

A consistent programme, thorough and built Go Macron!

***

Macron fait la promotion de son catalogue où l’on trouve à boire et à manger. Attention à la malbouffe… méfions nous du service après vente 😉

Macron promotes its catalogue where you can find food and drink. Beware of junk food … beware of the after sales service too 😉

***

Pour moi , c’est les  gauchos alliés a la droite et aux extrêmes qui ont trahis le PS .Depuis 81 , ce parti était devenu un parti de gouvernement et grace à des Le Drian ,Delanoe….devenait crédible. Pour la premiére fois je vais voter contre le PS radicalisé et irresponsable vie Macron , le plus réformiste .Je comprends que la majorité des sympatisans votent Macron , car Hamon et ses propositions pour ruiner la France avec une charge publique qui va friser les 60% C’EST 10 MILLIONS DE CHOMEURS ,les chèques en bois et open bar a tous les étages :

32 heures,+de policiers + d’enseignants,plus d’infirmieres,+de 250 000 places de créches+ 150 000 logements sociaux +de minima sociaux+d’alloc dès le premier enfant +d’aides pour les maisons de retraites +de retraites (pénibles) + pour la recherche ,l’armée +pour la culture + d’argent pour la transition énergétique + pour la formation n’en jetez plus …..Avec quel argent  .Comme des millions de Français pour une gauche responsable et de bon sens savent qu’il faut créer de la richesse pour la redistribuer , ,je vote E M

For me, it is the left wing allied to the right wing and the far wings betrayed the Socialist Party. Since 81, this party had become a party of government thanks to people like Le Drian, Delanoe …. It was credible. For the first time, I will vote against the radicalized and irresponsible and vote for the most reformist Macron. I understand that the majority votes Macron, because Hamon and his proposals will ruin France with a public charge that will curl the 60% IT’S 10 MILLIONS OF UNEMPLOYED, bad checks and open bar at all floors:

The 32 hours work policy, more police + teachers, more nurses, + 250,000 places in nurseries, + 150,000 social housing + social benefits + allowance for the first child + subsidies for old people’s homes + Retirements (annoying) + for research, army + for culture + money for energy transition + for training…..  A lot of money spent!  With what money?? Common sense please, we must create wealth to redistribute it, , I vote EM

***

Macron est un pur produit de communication et marketing lancé pour être consommé a fond par les français, “un pur produit jeune et frais”. Je ne vois nulle part en lui une quelconque transcendance et encore moins de le stature présidentielle, seulement le vide absolu.

Macron is a pure product of communication and marketing launched to be consumed thoroughly by the French, “a pure product young and fresh”. I see nowhere in him any transcendence and still less the presidential stature, only the absolute void.  

*** 

Macron est le mieux placé pour devenir le 8ème Président de la 5ème République, c’est à dire le second Président de personne.

Il devrait arriver au niveau de François à mi-quinquennat. Se rappeler que François est arrivé à ce niveau de vacuité et de vide intersidéral après toute une vie de travail acharné.

Mais le résultat est là, un sans faute salué par le monde entier.

Transformer l’or en plomb, ça c’est quelque chose.

Macron is best placed to become the 8th President of the 5th Republic, i.e. the second President of nobody.

He should arrive at the level of François at mid-term. Remember that Francois arrived at this level of emptiness and interstellar void after a lifetime of hard work.

But the result is there, a no-fault greeted by the whole world.

Turning gold into lead is something.

À bon entendeur… Mort de rire…

Frenchie

XoXo

French Election coverage: Meet Marine Le Pen (Part 1) – D – 28

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As the French presidential elections becoming the talk of South Kensington, there are many speculations, and polls from agencies, reporters and news channels across the world are making predictions. The leader of the Right National Front Party, Mrs Marine Le Pen is considered as one of the most potential candidates, and here, we have tried to give our readers some crucial facts that can help them to know more about her.

• Her full real name is Marion Anne Perrine Le Pen
• At the beginning of her career as a lawyer, she volunteered for immediate summary trials. In this context, she is led to defend a foreigner in an irregular situation and ironically wins these cases 8 times out of 10.
• She’d been known for being a party animal for years; she inherited of the nickname of “lofteuse” French slang for a party animal.
• Five years ago, she took over the party from her father, and the founder of the Front National Party Jean-Marie Le Pen and she has inherited politics from him. She has started attending FN meetings at the age of 13 along with her father, and it has shaped her political career to a great extent.
• A comedian known for making Nazi-evocative gesture “La Quenelle” is a big fan of Marine and the National Front.

Don’t be complacent… We’ve seen with Trump’s victory in the USA that today everything’s possible. People are not trusting the traditional media influences and articles anymore. They look way further and try to understand in their own way the world. Demonising a politician is not anymore a way to eliminate and bury him from the politic scene anymore!

Secularism is threatened by the very presence of Islam which has become the first practised religion of France, enough to scare the working and middle classes.

The immigration issue and fear from immigrants, especially Muslims (again!) and the current antipathy in EU has put forward Marine Le Pen.

All in all, France’s reality today is immigration, terrorism, insecurity, …

The French are scared, so afraid that the taboo of a far-right presidency no longer holds in France and her 144 commitments to the French People, Le Pen has promised the following:

• She will protect France from globalisation and reduce taxes and enhance welfare payments for working class.
• Also, she has announced that she will make the procedure of becoming a French citizen tough and deport all the illegal immigrants from the country.
• Hold a referendum to revise the Constitution
• Restore the automatic expulsion of foreign criminals and offenders. Establish bilateral agreements that allow sentenced foreigners to serve their sentences in their countries of origin.
• Make it impossible to regularise or naturalise illegal foreigners. Simplify and automate their expulsion.
• Permanently pave all public buildings of the French flag and remove the European flag.
• She had welcomed the exit of the Britain from the European Union and promised that Frexit is next if she comes in power.

Her political programme seems to reassure the people, and according to some polls and election experts, she is most probably going to be in the final round of the presidential elections in May.

The world is changing….

Frenchie
The first round of presidential elections will be held in France on April 22. In case no party wins the majority, two candidates with highest votes will contest for the second round on May 6.

French Attitude toward Le Pen

J’adhère à 1000% car pour devenir français, il faut le mériter!!!
beaucoup prennent la nationalité française pour bénéficier des avantages,?
Qui peuplent nos prisons ?
On voit ce qui se passe avec les attentats, ce sont pour beaucoup des français d’origne…..
OUI au FN

I adhere to (Le Pen’s political views) 1000% because to become French, you have to deserve !!!
Many take French citizenship to enjoy the benefits?
Who populate our prisons?
We see what happens with the terrorist attacks, they are for many French people.
YES to the FN

***

Je ne suis pas contre l’idée mais qui décide si machin ou truc est méritant ou pas, et selon quels critères ? Elle a précisé quelque chose à ce sujet ? Parce que c’est là que ça devient intéressant!

I am not against the idea (of toughening the procedure of becoming a French citizen ) but who decides whether or not X or Y deserve the citizenship, and according to what criteria? Did she say something about that? Because that’s where it gets interesting!

Le pen continue le business du père de gagner des sous en participant aux élections mais sans se faire élire.Fillon est un corrompu mais qui fait dans l’artisanat local alors macron fait dans la multinationale.

Le Pen continues her father’s business of winning pennies by participating in elections but without getting elected. Fillon is a corrupt and excels in local craftsmanship then Macron excels in the multinational.

A choisir entre Marine et Macron le menteur destructeur cynique et impitoyable.. il n’y a pas à hésiter !! C’est Marine . Avec Macron, c’est la mort et la misère assurée pour beaucoup de français et françaises.

Between Marine and Macron the cynical destructive ruthless liar  .. there is no hesitation !! It’s Marine. With Macron, it is death and misery assured for many French.

Moi ça me dérange qu’un pays étranger qui ne recherche que notre ruine et la destruction de l’Union Européenne finance un parti politique qui justement… prone le fin de l’Europe! D’autant plus quand ce pays n’est ni un ami ni une démocratie exemplaire, loin s’en faut, et qu’il fait déjà peur à tous ses voisins, dont certains sont membres… de l’Union Europénne! Ça a comme une odeur de haute trahison…

It disturbs me that a foreign country that only seeks our ruin and the destruction of the European Union finances a political party that precisely … want to the end Europe! Especially when this country is neither a friend nor an exemplary democracy, far from it, and that scares all its neighbors, some of which are members … of the European Union! It smells like high treason …

Could a Brexit lead to a Frexit?

images A majority of French (53%) want a Frexit referendum like the one planned in the UK the 23 June 2016. This is one of the revelations of a survey conducted in early February on 8000 participants in six European countries (Germany, France, Poland, Ireland, Spain and Sweden).

Of all Europeans surveyed, the French are the most favourable upon the exit of the UK, but curiously, the most likely to ask for the same anti-immigrant measures David Cameron obtained for his country.

For almost half of the French, a “Brexit” would not be a disaster; they are 44% to think that “Britain should leave the EU ” whilst 27% of Germans and 19% of Spaniards share this view.

Moreover, the French, like the Swedes think that the British economy would benefit from a Brexit. 56% of Germans expect negative effects of a Brexit and only 27% of French think the same.

Brexit, an open door for exit referendums?

After all these issues related to the British referendum, the survey asked the Europeans if they wish to have such referendum to be held in their country. The French (53%) are the only ones to be willing to with 45% of Germans and 47% of Spaniards sharing this view.

Could France leave the EU?

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In total, 45% of French would vote to stay in the EU, 33% would want to leave and 22% have no opinion. This is quite low compares with Germany (60% would stay), 66% for Poland and 68% for Spain.

France demonstrates a relative indifference to a possible Brexit and appears as the most Eurosceptic country in Europe after the British.

What do my people think about all this? Just a few comments here. Enjoy!

Les anglais veulent avoir l’Europe à leur botte ! Il serait temps que l’Europe sorte de sa torpeur et regarde la vérité en face. Nos politiques sont déjà tout émoustillés quand la couronne d’Angleterre daigne leur accorder un five-o’clock pour négocier puis leur imposer sa suzeraineté. Que ferons-nous quand ils nous obligeront la conduite à gauche ?

The English want Europe under their thumb It is time for Europe to emerge from its torpor and to face up the truth. Our politicians are already quite exhilarated when the English crown deigns to grant them a five-o’clock to negotiate and impose their suzerainty. What Next? They’ll require us to drive on the left side?

L’Europe est une escroquerie ! Après un référendum auquel les Français avaient répondu par la négative, les députés se sont crus autorisés à voter le contraire…Sur ces bases, il est évidemment très, difficile de faire confiance à cette institution. En outre, à moins d’être obtus, on voit bien que les exigences de l’UE conduisent les peuples à la misère… L’Union, agissant de manière dogmatique, protège le capital, pas les citoyens !  

Europe is a scam! After a referendum in which the French had said no, MP believed they were entitled to vote otherwise … On this basis, it is obviously very difficult to trust this institution. In addition, unless obtuse, it is clear that the EU requirements lead people to poverty… the Union, acting dogmatically, protects the capital, not the citizens!

Un référendum sur le maintien de la France ou sa sortie de l’UE serait la pire connerie populiste que puissent décider des politiques ! Toutes les frustrations actuelles se cristalliseraient dans un “non” à l’Europe alors que l’UE n’est qu’un bouc émissaire ! Détruire l’UE serait une catastrophe pour tous les européens, un retour aux vieux démons de l’histoire, et un affaiblissement de tous dans un monde de plus en plus instable et dangereux…

A referendum on the maintenance of France or its exit from the EU would be the worst populist bullshit that can decide politicians! All current frustrations will lead towards a “no” to Europe while the EU is only a scapegoat! Destroying the EU would be a disaster for all Europeans, a return to the old demons of history, and a weakening of all of us in a world increasingly unstable and dangerous …

La France est en pleine dépression… Ce n’est pas un président qu’il nous faudrait mais un psy!

France is in a deep depression … We don’t need a president but a shrink!

Nous sommes dans l’euro et si nous revenons en arrière, ce sera une chute du franc et du pouvoir d’achat sans précédent. Le seul choix crédible est d’aller vers une fédération des pays de l’euro, avec les mêmes lois sociales et fiscales pour tous.

We are in the euro and if we go back, it will be a drop of the Franc and the unprecedented decrease of the purchasing power. The only credible choice is to move towards a federation of countries, with the same social and tax laws for all.

Images: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-brexit-would-impact-eu-david-marinelli & http://www.upr.fr/actualite/apres-le-brexit-le-czexit-a-quand-le-frexit

 

Victoire de la musique

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Whilst the The Brit Awards are coming around quickly (i.e. this Saturday 24th February), last Friday France was awarding its pop artists.

You could see on their faces the joy of being recognised by the industry. There were those who, too modest or moved, to remained impassive as Louane. The singer just held her trophy against her heart and made a really touching speech.

Conversely, there were those not even trying to contain their joy and roll on the ground like Santa from Hyphen Hyphen, definitely not the shy type!

Others had tearful eyes as they couldn’t believe it like Yael Naim.

There were also those who make short speeches, those who made engaged speech such as Nekfeu who spoke of a refugee charity, a cause that is close to his heart.

Finally, we had those like The Innocents who received an award after 20 years of absence.

In short, the 31th ceremony of the Victoires de la Musique, last Friday was full of emotions with a wide variety of artists from the past and current!

Here are their winning songs, enjoy!

Artiste masculin de l’année (Male Solo Artist) : Vianney

Artiste féminine de l’année (Female Solo Artist): Yael Naim

Album révélation (Breakthrough act – Album): Chambre 12, Louane

Groupe ou artiste révélation scène (Breakthrough act – Performance): Hyphen Hyphen

Chanson originale de l’année (Original Song of the year): Sapés comme jamais, Maître Gims

Album Chanson de l’année (Album of the year): De l’amour, Johnny Hallyday

Album Rock de l’année (Rock Album of the year): Mandarine, Les Innocents

Album Musiques urbaines de l’année (Hip Hop/Urban Album of the year): Feu, Nekfeu

Album Musiques électroniques de l’année (Electronic Music of the year):  The wanderings of the Avener, The Avener

Album Musiques du monde de l’année (World Music of the year): Homeland, Hindi Zahra

Clip vidéo de l’année (Video Clip of the year)  & Spectacle musical / Tournée / Concert (Show/Tour/Concert of the year) : Christine And The Queens – Tournée des Zéniths

Withdrawal of the French Nationality

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I was having a night out with some friends out of London on that Friday 13th of November when a close friend of mine informed me that several terrorist attacks are ongoing in my home city. She obviously knows that I constantly travel for business and leisures to Paris so she wanted to be sure that I was safe, I was… And I rapidly called my relatives and made sure they were alright, they were…

And for some reason, I just kept on going with my night thinking that it was a replica of the Charlie Hebdo attacks which occurred a few months earlier and that I would catch up with the news the following morning.

Then, Saturday morning I watched the news and I was horrified, tears came out of my eyes as people have been killed in my “arrondissement”, shootings happened in the restaurants I used to go,  in the Bataclan I used to dance in. I was devastated, it was personal… And I used to live in this area where I will have my flat…

I was in sorrow and felt helpless, I was stuck on my sofa all morning observing the number of casualties continuing to grow, watching all those sordid and creepy videos about the attacks, listening to all testimonies… I had Goosebumps and couldn’t stop thinking what if I was there in my normal night out? Terrifying…

A few hours after these events happened, the investigations led by French security forces started identifying the perpetrators of these horrible acts. They were all either French or Belgians of North & West African descents.

Knowing this, the President François Hollande announced the 16th November 2015 to the Parliament, reunited in the Congress, that he wanted to extend the withdrawal of French nationality to French with dual nationality.

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By way of reminder, the French nationality law is historically based on the principles of jus soli (Latin for “right of soil”), in opposition for example to the German definition of nationality, jus sanguinis (Latin for “right of blood”).

Currently, withdrawal of nationality does not apply to French who had citizenship by descent (foreigners born in another country whose one of the parents or both is/are French at the time of his/her birth), but only to those who have been naturalised (foreigners also born in another country whom can prove residence in France during at least five years preceding the request). Therefore, this creates a distinction between two categories of French, those born in France and the others.

So now, all people with dual nationality may lose their French nationality if convicted permanently of affecting the interests of the nation or for terrorism. And that includes all dual nationals, even those born in France: this is the novelty Francois Hollande wants to implement as announced to Congress on November 16. FYI, in France 5% of the population is binational.

The past

This measure was first implemented in 1848, at the time, a decree provided that any French who kept on trafficking or buying slaves would be deprived of nationality.

Then, During World War I the Parliament passed a special law that allowed the withdrawal of French nationality to French individuals from enemy countries convicted for acts of treason or for insubordination.

During World War II The French state pronounced collective withdrawals of French nationality under the Nazi-collaborationist Vichy regime to deprive Jewish refugees in France who had been naturalised of their citizenship. The law of July 22, 1940, deprived 15,154 people of their French citizenship, including approximately 6,000 Jews as well as leaders of the Resistance. Vichy first interned Jews deprived of French citizenship in concentration camps and then, after passing a Franco-German accord on July 2, 1942, began deporting them out of France towards death camps to the east. So it’s indeed a very controversial matter if we take into account the latter.

What happen after a withdrawal?

The individual may then travel to the other country of nationality, subject to possible difficulties inherent in the other State. As the latter may indeed also withdraw the nationality or invoke various means to refuse his or her return. In this case, it will then be necessary to find another country that grants a pass to the person deprived of citizenship. The individual could end up in a dead end: oblige to leave the territory having an expulsion order without being able to go to another country for lack of authorisation. He could then be forced to remain paperless in the French territory and live in a very precarious situation with no job and no rights.

What politicians think?

All political parties are obviously mixed. Firstly, French Justice Minister Christiane Taubira has submitted her resignation Wednesday after having openly criticised key aspects of the reforms promoted the government and the withdrawal of nationality terrorists. During a trip to Algiers in December, she though that the measures were ruled out by the President (which made her look quite stupid) and told Algerian Channel 3 radio that this was “a subject that will go away,” as it “created a problem for the fundamental principle that one can acquire full citizenship through residence in France.

Sarkozy (Republican party and candidate to the next general election) is in favour of the measure, Francois Fillon (Republican, ex prime minister and candidate to the next election) is against. The FN is obviously favourable as this measure has always been part of their political programme.

Then, Friday, February 5, another controversy in the National Assembly, the Green MP Cécile Duflot expresses her strong opposition to the withdrawal of nationality. She mentioned and compared it to the Vichy regime which deeply irritated some MPs but surely and also the Prime Minister Manuel Valls.

So Valls, once firmly opposed to the withdrawal, struck her:

I want to remind it: Vichy is not the Republic! It is a part of France, but this is not the Republic, and none of us can feel, in some way, committed by the acts of that regime. And as you said, very rightly, we have to get out of jeers, of approximations and caricatures, I’m only asking you, in the (bad) memories from this dark period, not to associate the will of the government, and anyone in this assembly, with this period any of us can bear.

What my Frenchies think?

According to various surveys conducted in 2015, a majority of French people expressed support for the withdrawal of nationality binational terrorists. Indeed, following the attacks of 13 November 2015, 94% of French interrogated were favourable. To be honest, if the survey was conducted the 14th of November, I understand the results…..

More generally, 66% of the French, support a citizenship withdrawal extended to all French sentenced for acts of terrorism.

But here what do they think now as to 8th February 2016:

1/ Mais qu’ils arrêtent donc d’occuper la galerie avec cette déchéance de nationalité dont tout le monde se contrefiche… Elle existe déjà dans les textes et ne concernerait qu’une poignée d’individus. En pleine crise, on n’a vraiment rien d’autre à faire ?

Translation:

Can’t they stop entertaining us with this withdrawal of nationality which no one gives a sh*t for… It already exists in law and would affect only a handful of individuals. In economical crisis climate, don’t we have anything else to do?

2/ Ils abordent la déchéance de nationalité à peu près comme ils abordent tous les problèmes :

Tentative de récupération démagogique, emballement de départ sans beaucoup de réflexion, complication d’un sujet simple par de multiples circonvolutions, arbitrages, bidouillages, pataugeages pour finir par indisposer tout le monde sans satisfaire personne.

Du Hollande pur jus, quoi.

Translation:

They address the withdrawal of nationality as they approach all issues:

demagogic recovery attempt, uproar without much thoughts, complication of a simple subject with multiple convolutions, arbitrations, hacks, floundering which ends up by upsetting everyone without satisfying anyone. 100% Holland.

3/ Valls, premier premier ministre de la médiocratie française, qui ne se défend qu’en déclarant intolérable, inacceptable, inadmissible, scandaleux, nauséabond… Tout avis qui n’est pas le sien !

Translation:

Valls, the first minister of the French mediocrity, who defends himself by declaring intolerable, unacceptable, inadmissible, scandalous, nauseating all point of views that are not his!

4/ Si seulement nous pouvions obtenir la déchéance fiscale…! Là… Ca serait une vraie réforme structurelle…

Translation:

If only we could get tax forfeiture …!  That would be a real structural reform …

5/ Cette déchéance de la Nationalité, “occupent” beaucoup de monde, y compris les médias, mais n’intéresse… Absolument personne! Autant en finir en prenant n’importe quelle décision, comme d’habitude… ! Cela ne permet pas aux Français, de savoir ce qu’il se passe chez nous réellement…, peut-être est-ce le but ? Les Français sont totalement “oubliés” en ce moment, seules les élections de 2017, les intéressent… “Pauvre de nous”, encore beaucoup de tripatouillages en perspective pour occuper la “galerie”… Vivement qu’on en sorte…, pour enfin s’occuper des vraies Affaires des Français…, des choses sérieuses !

Translation:

This withdrawal of nationality, “upset” a lot of people, including the media, but interests … Absolutely nobody! Sort this out, take any decision, as usual …! This does not allow the French to know what’s really happening here … in fact, maybe this is the point? The French are completely “forgotten” at the moment, only the 2017 elections interest them … “Poor us,” lots of sugar-coat to entertain the people … Roll on the vote… to finally address the real issues of the French …, serious things!

6/ Le symbole de la déchéance de nationalité est devenu pour ce gouvernement un véritable casse-tête qui l’enfonce tous les jours un peu plus dans l’amateurisme et dans la façon la plus vraie par laquelle il aborde tous les problèmes économiques et sociales de ce pays. L’exécutif a voulu compliquer ce symbole au lieu de le réaliser tel qu’il avait été défini au Congrès. Maintenant, de ” pour”, je passe “contre” cette déchéance de nationalité puisqu’une loi existe et dont il vaudrait mieux respecter telle qu’elle est écrite.

Translation:

The symbol of withdrawal of nationality has become for the government a big headache that shows more and more their amateurism and more so by the way it addresses all economic and social problems of this country. The executive wanted to complicate this symbol instead of realising it as it was defined in Congress. Now, from “favourable”, I will go “against” the withdrawal of nationality, since a law already exists and that should be respected as written.

As you can see, 3 months after the attacks, we are all sick and tired of this sh**! The French population have other problems to deal with and we’d be grateful if the government could really sort this out… While they’re arguing on this matter, our economic situation has worsened:

  • unemployment rate of 10%;
  • 8% of the Population live below poverty line;
  • the purchasing power of gross disposable income fell by 0.9%;
  • The creation of micro-enterprises decreased by over 20%;
  • public debt represents 89.9% of GDP;
  • France’s credit rating was further downgraded by Fitch (and S&P) to the AA credit rating;
  • And I’ll stop here as it is depressing…

Well, on est dans de beaux draps!

Frenchie XoXo

 

My top 13 of the funniest French expressions

I heart linguistics and love words & phrases from different country especially knowing and understanding where they are coming from. For expressions, we have a whole lot in French and whilst some of them make perfect sense and others are funny, some are completely weird and I wonder/ed why they’re being said. Here is my top 13 of the weirdest French expressions:

Enjoy!

#13: Mentir comme un arracheur de dents

Literal translation: Lie like a tooth puller/dentist

English equivalent: none ?

Meaning:  have a guess….

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It refers to dentists (anciently called tooth puller) who assured their patients that the operation was painless. it’s not today and it was certainly not at the time! Aie aie aie…

#12: Bruyant comme un tonneau vide

Literal translation: Loud as an empty barrel

English equivalent: none? The English aren’t as mean as the French, are they? Come one… I need to search further or HELP?!

Meaning:  have a guess….

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The most ignorant people speak without saying anything consistent…

#11: Mettre du beurre dans les épinards

Literal translation: Put butter in the spinach

English equivalent: put butter on your bread

Meaning:

“Put butter in the spinach” means that one improves their living conditions, and in general in the financial field. In fact, butter symbolizes the ease and simplicity (like in English I’m guessing) while spinach would refer to a delicate situation, even trouble. Is it the bread for the English?

#10: Con comme une valise sans poignée

Literal translation: Dumb as a suitcase without a handle

English equivalent: None? Help again?

Meaning:

It is the image of an object unusable in this instance the suitace can’t be carried => someone stupid

#9 : Grimper au Rideau

Literal translation: climb the curtain

English equivalent: send somebody into raptures (really???? More romantic…)

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Meaning:  Take a lot of sexual pleasure, orgasm.

#8: Clouer le bec à quelqu’un

Literal translation: nail someone’s beak

English equivalent: shut someone up

#7: Fumer la moquette

Literal translation: smoking carpet

English equivalent: talk nonsense

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Meaning:

When addicts have nothing to smoke, they can get on their knees to look for small pieces of cannabis that would have been on the carpet; usually, this means smoking dirt, even the carpet itself => Do or say anything, as if under the influence of drugs.

#6: Donner de la confiture aux cochons

Literal translation: giving jam to pigs

English equivalent: Give pearls before swine

#5: Les anglais ont débarqué

Literal translation: The English have landed

English equivalent: none (?) I hope…

Meaning:  have a guess….

In 1815, when Bonaparte took a final slop in Waterloo (you guys were so organised), the English landed in France and occupied it until 1820 (Noooooo! So bad!).

At that time, the English were dressed in red uniforms. The link between this flood of red English invading the country and the capital and the red flow of menstrual blood has been easy to make in 1820, it’s a Parisian phrase in (bad) memory of the occupants. Ooopss… And still in use… Ouch…

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#4: Rire comme une baleine

Literal translation: laughing like a whale

English equivalent: laugh out loud; laugh one’s head off; laugh like a drain.

#3: prendre ton pied

Literal translation: take one’s foot

English equivalent: have a blast

Meaning:

to take pleasure from something, usually to come, have an orgasm.

This expression dates from the nineteenth century. The foot meant a ration at the time of the corsaires: it was the unit of measure to share the property of a booty. More generally, it is used when someone is happy.

#2: Ne pas être sorti de l’auberge

Literal translation: we’re not out of the hostel/inn

English equivalent: We’re not out of the wood yet…

Meaning:

The most employed phrase in France and the second preferred one.

In slang, the word ” hostel” meant ” prison”. This expression means that we will still have to spend a long time in a ” prison” (physically or emotionally) => Still have a lot of trouble to face.

 

#1 – Les chiens ne font pas des chats

Literal translation: Dogs do not make cats

English equivalent: The apple never falls far from the tree

Meaning: Children resemble their parents.

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Hope you enjoyed! @ Bientôt

Tell me which one was easy for you to guess and which didn’t make sense at all.

On the same notes, this page is quite interesting: http://matadornetwork.com/abroad/20-funniest-french-expressions-use/

A good book to read for the Francophiles…

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